0x0ffdc54f4905823ae42d0b63d8a419b283c5d98b
0x0ffdc54f4905823ae42d0b63d8a419b283c5d98b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-221.42
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?
9826 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?
3219 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Panama leading at halftime?
3083 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
2000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?
1875 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
1111 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-211.00
- YES
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Egypt?
882 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?
804 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$62.50Aug 2, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$5.28Jul 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$5.28Jul 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$5.21Jul 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.26Jul 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.17Jul 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5.16Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?$5.18Jul 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?$5.19Jul 7, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$50.00Jul 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$5.16Jul 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$10.34Jul 5, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$5.95Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$9.43Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$5.07Jul 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$5.12Jul 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?$5.18Jul 4, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?$5.18Jul 4, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?$4.38Jul 4, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?$10.38Jul 3, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.