Optimistic-Formamide
0x1009dfad465111941c5fd833750e9d2599c96cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.98
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Mariah Carey be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?
152 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Nevada be the closest state?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will there be another tipping point state?
88 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win Rhode Island by the largest margin?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$28.06Feb 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.02Dec 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.04Dec 25, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.05Dec 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.04Dec 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.00Dec 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?$0.06Dec 12, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?$0.06Dec 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.09Dec 5, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.01Dec 5, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.11Dec 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?$0.13Nov 29, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mariah Carey be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?$0.15Nov 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nevada be the closest state?$0.12Nov 15, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.14Nov 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win North Carolina by 0%-1.0%?$0.15Nov 13, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?$0.13Nov 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Rhode Island by the largest margin?$0.15Nov 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?$0.14Nov 13, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".