Mean-Architecture
0x100e65b7b071add71d2ebbec984da78d93273ae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
4482 shares @ 58.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.0K
$-560.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
96 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$-0.24
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
5098 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-129.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5AM ET
1284 shares @ 74.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-953.01
- YES
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
644 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-51.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
423 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-59.20
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
102 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-53.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$40.31Jun 12, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$14.44Jun 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.25Jun 12, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.08Jun 12, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.15Jun 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.01Jun 12, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.6KJun 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$2.6KJun 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.8KJun 11, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$63.11Apr 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$63.16Apr 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$36.47Apr 16, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$36.47Apr 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$22.17Apr 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5AM ET$971.03Apr 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 31, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$1.94Jan 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$50.00Jan 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$50.00Jan 28, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $475.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.