0x101610231a468214979f85f538387460fee14666
0x101610231a468214979f85f538387460fee14666
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.92
Realised
$-8.20
Win rate
6%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10PM ET
256 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
93 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
93 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1AM ET
89 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9AM ET
55 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10PM ET
39 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ET
38 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
31 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
28 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET
14 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.32Jul 16, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.99Jul 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ET$0.03Jul 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ET$1.99Jul 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1AM ET$0.96Jul 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1AM ET$2.00Jul 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$4.08Jul 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.01Jul 14, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.01Jul 14, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$1.99Jul 14, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.52Jul 13, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.01Jul 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.99Jul 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$2.27Jul 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$2.00Jul 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.00Jul 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.01Jul 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.00Jul 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$4.01Jul 5, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.99Jul 5, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.