Jaunty-Feedback
0x1017798220a8984f5ec307c6497bb554da8480d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.61
Total PnL
$-13.21
Realised
$2.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 21.1¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.36
$-3.80
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 10.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.48
$-2.02
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 26.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.27
$3.27
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
183 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Georgia?
54 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Georgia?$0.33Jul 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Georgia?$0.23Jul 22, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?$5.03Jul 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks in Georgia?$0.75Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?$3.06Jul 22, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Georgia?$1.04Jul 22, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.80Jul 22, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1.16Jul 22, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$0.00Jul 22, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.89Jul 21, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$0.70Jul 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$0.84Jul 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$0.56Jul 21, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMKalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 4.5$0.00Jul 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1.46Jul 20, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Assche$0.00Jul 20, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5$2.40Jul 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?$2.08Jul 20, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMPalermo: Sofya Lansere vs Lola Radivojevic$0.00Jul 20, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.