0x10251c6856809ee1f4412ebf176b22160b288f88
0x10251c6856809ee1f4412ebf176b22160b288f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$360.37
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-2.29
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
155 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$154.60
$1.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
48 shares @ 29.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$47.95
$33.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
47 shares @ 29.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$47.47
$33.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
38 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$38.46
$27.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
28 shares @ 29.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$28.48
$20.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
20 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$20.00
$1.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
40 shares @ 40.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.40
$-12.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
57 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.75Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.28Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.70Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.65Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.65Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.02Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.47Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.02Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.50Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.18Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.77Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$18.31Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$30.00Jul 22, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$3.07Jul 22, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.25Jul 22, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.70Jul 22, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.30Jul 22, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$35.00Jul 22, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.30Jul 22, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.