Hasty-Barracks
0x1028216ca2f0a39b32f99f1169f20017e6d58afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-859.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1051 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
783 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-370.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
636 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
321 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?
261 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
188 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
136 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)
101 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$26.07Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$25.94Jul 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$103.55Jul 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$103.57Jul 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$103.61Jul 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$75.45Jul 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.02Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.03Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.03Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$365.19Jul 23, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$25.33Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$25.35Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$25.35Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$101.89Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$101.96Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $64.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.