Awkward-Bud
0x102df91c7d1ff92cffbb8895428fdaa6d0f7c9af
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$-811.18
Win rate
45%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34.5 and 35.0 million views on day 4?
10107 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-571.25
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4?
9904 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.62
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 36 and 38 million views on day 3?
5772 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.81
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?
5570 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-170.07
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 5?
5567 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-501.43
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 34.5 million views on day 4?
5500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-146.94
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 22–24 million views on day 1?
5000 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-272.12
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?
4818 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 38.0 million or more views on day 5?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 5?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?$2.30Jun 19, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 53.5 and 54 million views on day 6?$1.04Jun 18, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$29.10Jun 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$10.00Jun 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$0.64Jun 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$0.96Jun 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$0.18Jun 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$0.50Jun 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$0.34Jun 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$9.90Jun 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.82Jun 15, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.36Jun 15, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?$1.05Jun 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$3.26Jun 14, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?$0.84Jun 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?$1.32Jun 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?$1.04Jun 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?$0.70Jun 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 45 million or more views on day 2?$0.07Jun 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 45 million or more views on day 2?$0.18Jun 14, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
42 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.