Utter-Character
0x102f26c4ec7c01a74fa3bdc2d0e0b63dc4b57a56
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$30.06
Total PnL
$-36.2K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- YES
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
11 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.69
$0.69
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.17
$-1.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?
1 shares @ 76.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
22592 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 2?
9906 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-687.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?
9796 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-553.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?$10.03Jul 3, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?$5.11Jul 3, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?$1.01Jul 3, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.02Jul 3, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jul 3, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.02Jul 3, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 3, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$0.00Jul 3, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$37.96Jul 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$51.47Jul 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$20.58Jul 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$51.33Jul 3, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$51.34Jul 3, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$548.75Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$102.59Jul 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$52.33Jul 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$1.0KJul 2, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$160.72Jul 2, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 2?$165.89Jul 2, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$104.94Jul 2, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $296.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.