Utter-Character
0x102f26c4ec7c01a74fa3bdc2d0e0b63dc4b57a56
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$559.13
Total PnL
$-107.3K
Realised
$-41.5K
Win rate
1%
182 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
18604 shares @ 19.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$381.39
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
5576 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$69.69
$-432.29
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
18145 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$63.51
$-271.47
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?
12724 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$44.53
$-155.45
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
53324 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-129.92
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 23?
28817 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
22592 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?
22088 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-732.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$1.07Aug 19, 00:31 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.62Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$5.26Aug 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$328.86Aug 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$6.38Aug 18, 02:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.39Aug 18, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.16Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$23.70Aug 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$186.93Aug 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$61.46Aug 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$1.89Aug 17, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$26.70Aug 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$26.67Aug 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$26.68Aug 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?$95.94Aug 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?$20.48Aug 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?$0.53Aug 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?$2.05Aug 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 17?$8.17Aug 17, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 182 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
182 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $133.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 182 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.