0x10303f60f30b4f4f3b85ce4b07673a1cce7d1285
0x10303f60f30b4f4f3b85ce4b07673a1cce7d1285
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?
600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?
352 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
195 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?$0.10Mar 16, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$1.10Mar 4, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4?$1.20Mar 4, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$1.30Mar 4, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.59Mar 2, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$0.68Mar 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.48Mar 2, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$2.22Mar 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$1.55Mar 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 26?$1.00Mar 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?$1.00Mar 1, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?$1.00Mar 1, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%?$1.00Mar 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?$1.00Mar 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.00Mar 1, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Mar 1, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$1.00Mar 1, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.