Bubbly-Airfield
0x104540ff11d85204fe390299af0f7462bd6e35cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.37
Total PnL
$-1.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 18?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.00Dec 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 18?$1.00Dec 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?$1.00Dec 18, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Nov 2, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Nov 2, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 28, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".