Wee-Humidity
0x104b2b96cc61109f43156c2a360810990c6ac4a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.33
Total PnL
$-11.73
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.70
$-1.10
- YES
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.60
$-1.32
- YES
Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.03
$-3.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montreal$3.20Aug 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.28Aug 12, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.19Aug 12, 01:42 UTC
- REWARD$1.83Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montreal$2.60Aug 11, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?$6.60Aug 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?$5.60Aug 11, 22:46 UTC
- REWARD$1.33Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$5.40Aug 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$0.01Aug 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$1.83Aug 10, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$2.56Aug 10, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$4.20Aug 10, 01:56 UTC
- REWARD$2.56Aug 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.96Aug 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.84Aug 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$0.20Aug 9, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$7.60Aug 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$1.26Aug 9, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$3.20Aug 9, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.