Cumbersome-Cantaloupe
0x104f155ca2ad2ba6a7cb1645d3dbc1a02ef66b02
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
7665 shares @ 15.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$804.82
$-414.39
- YES
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3197 shares @ 15.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$431.63
$-66.36
- YES
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1498 shares @ 26.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.30
$-240.70
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3242 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$134.53
$4.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1103 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$88.26
$0.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
20586 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-497.99
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
12419 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-498.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
6225 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-498.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
5145 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.00
- YES
New pandemic in 2025?
3943 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.93Jun 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$92.32Jun 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$136.24Jun 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$498.00Jun 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$498.00Jun 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$298.00Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$398.00May 25, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$23.21May 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$400.00May 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$124.27May 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.81May 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$246.24May 8, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$592.16Feb 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$350.00Jan 31, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$4.34Jan 31, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$47.24Jan 31, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$100.00Jan 31, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$50.00Jan 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$10.00Jan 31, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $219.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.