Showy-Acetate
0x1063ca86b4cd8b3abb28a937d975ce89cdac18e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$-176.71
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?
13980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- NO
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?
10930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.93
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
10520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- UCLA BRUINS
Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruins
8494 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.59
- NO
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?
4320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- NO
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31?
3440 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?
2780 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
2580 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?
2310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- NO
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
2001 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$40.67Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$21.45Jul 21, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$8.18Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$39.13Jul 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.79Jul 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$21.03Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$8.01Jul 21, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.29Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$2.68Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$38.09Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.68Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$21.01Jul 21, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.02Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.98Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.68Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$15.00Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.68Jul 21, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$8.01Jul 21, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.18Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.68Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.