Illustrious-Complication
0x1065269e1966322c3107a1d692645d52d6b405aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?
191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
95 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10PM ET
94 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 21?
89 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
86 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?
85 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 26?
83 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 27?
82 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?
79 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
78 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$80.78May 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$0.09May 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$0.04May 27, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$78.15May 27, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$83.62May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$82.11May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?$1.37May 11, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$3.27May 11, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?$1.35May 9, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 9?$1.32May 9, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?$19.86May 7, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$81.37Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMVU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears$0.00Apr 18, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$0.00Apr 11, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 30?$0.00Mar 31, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?$0.03Mar 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?$17.45Mar 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$79.82Mar 30, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?$0.00Mar 30, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.10 January 19-25?$0.00Mar 29, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $38.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.