Tinted-Corporatism
0x10679dc2e9bdb4e18cc59d3c0b211a1497dd1dd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-486.87
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
43%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 10PM ET
253 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET
88 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.71
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.85Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.17Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.73Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.62Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.08Jul 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.98Jul 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.13Jul 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.15Jul 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.75Jul 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.68Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.90Jul 12, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$0.81Jul 12, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
47 closed markets, 43% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.