Insidious-Creative
0x106b9a07efac003cda688377df858dc68c3e267d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.22
Realised
$14.28
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 15?
350 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C on July 14?
324 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 29?
300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 12?
300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?
261 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?
220 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?
220 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 42°C or higher on July 16?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 12?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?
150 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$0.18Jul 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$0.42Jul 17, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$0.21Jul 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$0.85Jul 17, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 17?$0.76Jul 17, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.30Jul 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.01Jul 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.00Jul 17, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.00Jul 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.00Jul 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.00Jul 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.02Jul 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 17?$2.65Jul 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.02Jul 17, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?$0.03Jul 17, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 17?$3.61Jul 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 17?$1.95Jul 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$1.59Jul 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 17?$1.57Jul 17, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$1.80Jul 17, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.