Damp-Legislator
0x1071b4b13704b66f1da05fa06b7d7dba7b6d7979
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-34.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?
35 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?
3 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11?$1.00Nov 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.12Nov 9, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?$2.00Nov 5, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.03Nov 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.78Nov 4, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 4?$10.00Nov 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?$10.00Oct 31, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.00Oct 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 30?$1.00Oct 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 25?$5.00Oct 24, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.00Oct 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $2.00Oct 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 16, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.