Ordinary-Manifestation
0x1071fee387f875ee5f936ad0cb338bcca7e9a022
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-182.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
64000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
479 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 6?
369 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 6?
338 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
245 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$34.00Jan 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$21.31Jan 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.65Jan 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$30.00Jan 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?$5.00Jan 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?$5.00Jan 25, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?$10.00Jan 25, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.00Jan 25, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$10.00Jan 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$5.00Jan 25, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$5.00Jan 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?$5.00Jan 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$5.00Jan 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$5.00Jan 24, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Blachowicz vs. Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.42Dec 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$29.97Dec 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$45.40Dec 7, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 6?$5.00Dec 5, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $12.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.