Steel-Digging
0x1073d3b26ef0c5dbb37bf4e417801fa29d1bd8ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
117
Open notional
$340.35
Total PnL
$17.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$11.86
$0.94
- YES
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$11.46
$1.02
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?
15 shares @ 85.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.95
$-1.80
- YES
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.26
$1.50
- NO
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$1.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$7.00
$1.75
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$7.00
$0.35
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 7?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$7.00
$1.96
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$7.00
$1.40
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$6.87
$0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 8?$2.53Aug 7, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs$0.00Aug 7, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$0.00Aug 7, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6?$7.00Aug 7, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?$6.67Aug 7, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 8?$5.86Aug 7, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on August 7?$1.04Aug 7, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?$5.67Aug 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$1.01Aug 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?$5.00Aug 7, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?$7.00Aug 7, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6?$7.00Aug 7, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?$7.00Aug 7, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Team" 15+ times during Team USA reception?$1.33Aug 7, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6?$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 6?$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?$0.00Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.