Hospitable-Auction
0x10746070f0bb12ca83bf445807414be8d3e832f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2322 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2321 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2319 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?$1.00Dec 17, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$1.02Dec 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.04Dec 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$1.00Dec 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 11, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.02Dec 11, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.00Dec 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 5, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.08Dec 5, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$96.00Nov 12, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$100.00Nov 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$50.00Nov 12, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$48.00Nov 12, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$6.9KOct 31, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $119.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".