Flashy-Constellation
0x1075b3962412fff14193fe0819a5cb288e9c19c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$37.78
Total PnL
$-78.26
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Dankmemes01 Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.29
$13.69
- YES
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?
259 shares @ 23.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.95
$-46.62
- NO
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
62 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$9.39
$-6.11
- YES
Will Four Angry Men win the EWC 2026 PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS tournament?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.14
$1.10
- NO
Will Davis Bryant finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during remarks in Georgia?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 19?
93 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
- YES
Will Benjamin James win the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
56 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Chandler Phillips win the 2026 ISCO Championship?
44 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will OG have the widest hero pool at EWC 2026?
22 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- REWARD$58.33Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$4.34Jul 23, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?$59.57Jul 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$1.43Jul 23, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$8.16Jul 23, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?$15.50Jul 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?$70.04Jul 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?$32.72Jul 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?$117.00Jul 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$0.15Jul 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "World Cup" on Hot Ones?$0.69Jul 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "World Cup" on Hot Ones?$5.28Jul 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$0.88Jul 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 24?$6.92Jul 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 24?$8.58Jul 23, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$14.14Jul 23, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$17.60Jul 23, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?$1.33Jul 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?$4.33Jul 23, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.