Fatherly-Parent
0x107e9a1c1c6c12775f9d3a7c96df574d89953779
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.53
Total PnL
$-166.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$-3.47
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 22 at 5PM ET?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 1PM ET
38 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
35 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on July 25?
34 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET
33 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?$3.00Dec 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$5.00Oct 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$3.00Oct 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$5.00Sep 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$5.00Sep 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$5.00Aug 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 1PM ET$3.00Aug 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$5.00Aug 13, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3800 in August?$4.62Aug 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$3.00Aug 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3800 in August?$3.00Aug 3, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.85Aug 3, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET$4.17Aug 2, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$3.00Aug 1, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$23.03Aug 1, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$24.39Aug 1, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET$3.00Aug 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?$5.00Aug 1, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$3.00Jul 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Elon talk by August 31?$3.00Jul 31, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.