Afraid-Celeriac
0x10818a81686a1c35f66d049e676b9394a3bc02ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on January 27?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 47°F or below on January 20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on January 18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 15?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -10°C or below on January 20?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 47°F or below on January 19?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on January 27?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on February 4?
68 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on January 20?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 22?$1.00Feb 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 22?$2.00Feb 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?$2.00Feb 21, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on February 20?$3.28Feb 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?$1.00Feb 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on February 20?$2.00Feb 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 15?$2.00Feb 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on February 6?$2.00Feb 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on February 6?$2.00Feb 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on February 4?$2.00Feb 4, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 41°F or below on February 5?$2.00Feb 4, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 28°F or higher on January 29?$2.00Jan 27, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on January 27?$2.00Jan 27, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on January 27?$2.00Jan 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on January 20?$1.00Jan 19, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 20?$1.00Jan 19, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 47°F or below on January 20?$1.00Jan 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 47°F or below on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -10°C or below on January 20?$1.00Jan 18, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".