Brisk-Addiction
0x108e9a9259d13f36bc7d6f8c3155f63ed4d8863a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.05
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4367 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on November 1?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
93 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on November 3?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
81 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
62 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
42 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$4.53Mar 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.43Mar 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$0.25Jan 25, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 11, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.15Dec 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.11Dec 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.28Dec 9, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.28Dec 9, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.27Dec 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.27Dec 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.03Dec 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSuns vs. Timberwolves$2.08Dec 9, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0.55Dec 9, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.