Corny-Notepad
0x10a1edc26fd28d012fbd494a2ec134bc16f5a7f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.77
Total PnL
$0.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.48
$0.13
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$6.36
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.62
$0.02
- NO
US defaults on debt in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.31
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5.60Jun 28, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? $6.32Jun 28, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$6.35Jun 28, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?$1.41Jun 28, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recession before May 2025?$5.42Jun 28, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.68Jun 28, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.76Jun 28, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.60Apr 25, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.70Apr 25, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$5.40Apr 25, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt in 2025?$5.10Apr 25, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? $1.19Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley be a member of the Trump administration?$1.42Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCLA win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?$1.56Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill TCU win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?$20.04Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TCU win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?$20.00Mar 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCLA win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?$1.36Mar 23, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$5.00Mar 23, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? $10.01Mar 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$5.00Feb 13, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $235.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.