Hurtful-Urgency
0x10a334237b26e1666a84c246fbe950dbcac8534e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$75.00
Total PnL
$35.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession in 2025?
55 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$55.00
$35.75
- NO
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$20.00
$8.80
- YES
Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$19.25Apr 9, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?$0.00Apr 9, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove tariff on China before March?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMPrice of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.12Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US leave NATO by June 30?$18.41Apr 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US leave NATO by June 30?$17.44Feb 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?$16.73Feb 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit the U.S. before July?$2.00Feb 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$1.00Feb 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?$1.00Feb 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?$2.50Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2.50Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$2.38Feb 18, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?$1.00Feb 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove tariff on China before March?$1.00Feb 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrice of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?$2.40Feb 18, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $12.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.