Sneaky-Consul
0x10a4a2fe493b7b976c76407f393227ed96032895
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-3.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
1025 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-327.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?
186 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-77.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?
108 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-106.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 3?
102 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?
100 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-62.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
95 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-89.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?
83 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-68.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 14?
81 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 7?
59 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 23?$2.5KMay 23, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?$10.00May 23, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 23?$162.54May 23, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 23?$385.98May 23, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?$8.56May 23, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 23?$2.1KMay 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 23?$157.90May 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$5.67May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$20.00May 21, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.00May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$13.73May 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$7.16May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$6.87May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 17?$45.00May 17, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 17?$93.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?$36.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 17?$92.03May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 17?$41.57May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?$35.32May 16, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on May 16?$10.00May 16, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $141.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.