0x10a71941a618690698fc9dae2414c4226bfe00b1
0x10a71941a618690698fc9dae2414c4226bfe00b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-303.64
Realised
$-5.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?
477 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
435 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
64 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
50 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
40 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
40 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
40 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
40 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
40 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$40.00Jul 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.31Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.71Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$6.36Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.27Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$6.07Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.22Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$7.30Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.38Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$6.30Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.94Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.56Jul 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$3.66Jul 14, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.04Jul 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.32Jul 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.48Jul 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.15Jul 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.63Jul 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$3.20Jul 14, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.