Capital-Disruption
0x10aa38545cf9c22be0b7ff6c6b4d5365f1836ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.22
Total PnL
$-7.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 11?
36 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
4 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.03Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.34Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?$1.79Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$1.00Feb 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.00Feb 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.00Feb 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$1.00Feb 10, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.