Stimulating-Exhibition
0x10af38bf42cd3df74f1af14b2736bce1f4f8ce73
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.41
Total PnL
$-108.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.14
$0.00
- YES
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.15
$0.02
- NO
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 90.4¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7AM ET
1900 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-89.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6AM ET
1300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11PM ET
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6PM ET
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?$1.13May 30, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11May 30, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.14May 30, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 29?$1.17May 30, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10May 30, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.34May 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 29?$1.17Apr 28, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.20Apr 28, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$1.59Apr 28, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.37Apr 28, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$7.23Apr 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$1.52Mar 5, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.20Mar 5, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$7.20Mar 5, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$1.32Mar 5, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$1.30Feb 12, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?$0.13Feb 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7AM ET$0.57Feb 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7AM ET$0.20Feb 12, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".