Wan-Obsidian
0x10bc23218ce659c06606dffd151beb701138df04
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.76
Total PnL
$-11.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.76
$3.76
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 20% or more?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get less than 15 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca win on 2025-10-26?$0.42Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $0.56Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$0.60Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $350 in October?$0.50Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.71Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$0.82Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$0.60Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$0.86Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.83Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$0.88Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$0.92Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$0.86Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.91Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$0.88Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.92Oct 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.92Oct 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$0.95Oct 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.95Oct 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.93Oct 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.94Oct 26, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".