Outlying-Turkey
0x10bfcba093d43958e23ea767ef1512d952fa4d26
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-46.51
Win rate
10%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
752 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
352 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
348 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
343 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-38.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
293 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-95.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
203 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-96.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
180 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-37.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
155 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
140 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-42.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$9.45Jun 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$9.63Jun 15, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$12.38Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.68Jun 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$12.67Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$23.01Jun 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$12.74Jun 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$10.38Jun 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$10.46Jun 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$20.49Jun 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.43Jun 12, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$13.94Jun 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$10.39Jun 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$11.24Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$11.08Jun 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$8.54Jun 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$18.71Jun 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$9.28Jun 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$11.10Jun 12, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.93Jun 12, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.