Well-Worn-Zampone
0x10c01122e0fb3e40a4001079e5bc0d1f1ce7286d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
391 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
316 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
305 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
34 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
19 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.9KJun 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$61.00Jun 14, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$117.65Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$100.45Jun 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$101.58Jun 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$103.01Jun 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$530.00Jun 2, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.5KJun 1, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.21Jun 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.01Jun 1, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$595.15Jun 1, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00May 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 27, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$101.88May 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00May 27, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.0KMay 27, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$10.2KMay 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$4.20May 26, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.00May 26, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $976.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.