Firm-Chasm
0x10d5defe8d9689e2dc90246ea8cb6018d8a933fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$129.35
Total PnL
$-720.92
Realised
$94.66
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
70 shares @ 86.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$59.41
$-1.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$21.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
28 shares @ 38.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.88
$2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
194 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$10.69
$0.92
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
22 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.82
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$9.00
$6.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.45
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?
61 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.82
$1.09
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.40
$-12.60
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.38
$-9.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.6718s ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.011m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.2053m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.2053m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$1.0853m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.7253m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.0153m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.2053m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$1.2053m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.041h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$1.892h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$2.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?$11.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$0.172h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$1.472h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$3.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.062h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 18s ago
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
