Occasional-Hedgehog
0x10d651d87f5d32d028be8fe260763a81902aa48c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$111.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
3308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-43.14
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
2251 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
2060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
1686 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
1574 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.93
- NO
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
1530 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-223.20
- NO
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?
1396 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1289 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.33
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1181 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-149.02
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
1142 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$36.69Dec 19, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$36.68Dec 19, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$6.45Dec 19, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$3.89Dec 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia coup attempt in 2025?$2.57Dec 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$24.04Oct 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?$9.01Oct 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$15.03Oct 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$2.00Sep 3, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign today?$2.00Sep 2, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$24.98Sep 2, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$5.00Sep 2, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$5.00Sep 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$34.99Sep 2, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?$123.20Sep 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$100.00Aug 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$20.00Aug 31, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?$100.00Aug 31, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?$20.00Aug 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$1.42Aug 31, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $50.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 05:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".