Ill-Fated-Excitement
0x10d92554b6bf59cb44303fd42bf2dea043178f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$598.25
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
598 shares @ 16.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$598.25
$501.44
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
5255 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
1350 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-67.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET
604 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-188.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET
602 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-214.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET
602 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-233.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET
598 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-220.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET
595 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-168.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 10?
491 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-156.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET
425 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-36.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4PM ET$0.43Apr 27, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3PM ET$54.00Apr 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$250.00Feb 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.48Feb 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.48Feb 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.48Feb 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.48Feb 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.48Feb 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.45Feb 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.45Feb 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.45Feb 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.90Feb 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.98Feb 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4PM ET$11.60Feb 11, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".