Elaborate-Vivo
0x10e0304482fa8f8d879447bb5de58040a71792e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-355.87
Win rate
33%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 4?
1177 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 28?
302 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 28?
292 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?$129.85Jul 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?$1.81Jul 13, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?$11.97Jul 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?$3.31Jul 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?$30.00Jul 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$287.46Jul 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$38.96Jul 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$21.15Jul 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$180.64Jul 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$0.05Jul 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$54.43Jul 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$2.86Jul 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$2.00Jul 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$1.15Jul 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$0.42Jul 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$0.60Jul 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$1.60Jul 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$1.02Jul 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$0.71Jul 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?$0.87Jul 13, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.