Knowing-Hydrolyse
0x10e62253ed2b8e05a6e1e3d0a854c8f336c70ee6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$5.05
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 31?$5.00May 31, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$5.00May 31, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$30.00May 31, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$4.96May 6, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.79May 6, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.60Apr 20, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$19.86Apr 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$29.88Apr 19, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$5.23Apr 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$5.17Mar 30, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$8.85Feb 5, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$9.54Feb 5, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$30.29Feb 5, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.55Jan 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$12.08Jan 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.48Jan 20, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$6.67Jan 19, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$9.02Jan 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$8.37Jan 17, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $10.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.