Miniature-Indication
0x10efa103fafdbc3c44ad9fceab24870782a872af
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$31.13
Total PnL
$-183.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.33
$5.33
- NO
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
22293 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-155.67
- YES
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
65 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Sep 5, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 5, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.55Sep 5, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?$20.00Aug 7, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chargers win the AFC Championship?$1.00Aug 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win the AFC Championship?$20.00Aug 7, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?$11.46Aug 3, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMUK strike on Iran before July?$12.50Aug 3, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMRecord low border encounters in June?$13.33Aug 3, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? $30.77Aug 3, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$41.67Aug 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.65Jun 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?$1.00Jun 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$20.00Jun 19, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?$1.00Jun 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?$11.00Jun 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK strike on Iran before July?$11.00Jun 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$3.00Jun 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord low border encounters in June?$5.00Jun 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord low border encounters in June?$5.00Jun 19, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".