Coarse-Realization
0x10f21da5da9496127ec13629b6d1595e45220f0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$33.92
Total PnL
$-5.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.06
$0.24
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.43
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$4.04
$0.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.33
$0.35
- NO
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.03
$0.49
- CELTICS
Wizards vs. Celtics
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$2.02
$0.41
- DUKE BLUE DEVILS
Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas Longhorns
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$2.02
$0.36
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.02
$0.20
- NO
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.00
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.98Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.86Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.90Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.97Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET$1.62Nov 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.94Nov 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.94Nov 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.58Nov 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDuke Blue Devils vs. Texas Longhorns$1.66Nov 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET$1.82Nov 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.58Nov 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.94Nov 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.98Nov 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1.54Nov 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET$1.94Nov 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics$1.62Nov 4, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.98Nov 4, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$1.54Nov 4, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.98Nov 4, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Nov 3, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".