Whispered-Epoxy
0x10f9e03ae22127d116b85cdfff48dc843f8a164b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$60.83
Total PnL
$-10.22
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.32
$0.32
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$10.17
$0.17
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$10.06
$0.06
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$9.76
$1.76
- NO
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$9.30
$1.30
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
6 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$6.22
$0.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
18 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.00Jul 26, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$14.00Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$15.00Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?$9.88Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.95Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?$5.94Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.38Jul 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 29, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?$8.00Jun 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?$6.00Jun 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?$10.00Jun 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.00Jun 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.00Jun 29, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$15.21Jun 29, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$15.27Jun 29, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$20.41Jun 29, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$8.00Jun 29, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 29, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$15.00Apr 30, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$15.00Apr 30, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 12:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.