Probable-Alibi
0x10f9e6d505791c1be12ddd7ae6ee8bc0e95d4b8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.42
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana dip to $80 in July?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$4.39
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in July?$4.38Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$1.00Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$2.00Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?$2.00Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 21, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?$1.00Jul 21, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.05Jul 21, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.30Jul 21, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$2.00Jul 21, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$5.03Jul 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.30Jun 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$2.00Jun 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?$1.00Jun 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$5.00Jun 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jun 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 28, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 175–199 times May 9–16?$10.01Jun 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175–199 times May 9–16?$9.98May 13, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$10.30May 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$10.27Feb 28, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.