Lazy-Pledge
0x10ff89e3f0316826483a49230ebe3d4914b6e39e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.75
Total PnL
$-6.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
1 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$15.01May 19, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.76May 19, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$6.67May 19, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$279.16Nov 20, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$4.11Nov 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$3.00Nov 19, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$3.00Nov 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$286.10Nov 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$303.44Nov 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$305.50Nov 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $190 on November 19?$2.00Nov 19, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$1.25Nov 19, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.43Nov 19, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$2.25Nov 19, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$2.44Nov 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Sep 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$2.00Sep 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?$0.96Sep 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?$2.22Sep 27, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $39.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".