Powerful-Flood
0x110344ba11426639779a697705e0f901374957e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-522.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?
668 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 21?
541 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?
339 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
247 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?
129 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 15?
96 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 18?
60 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.37Jun 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.11Jun 17, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.11Jun 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.71Jun 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.06Jun 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.59Jun 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.06Jun 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.91Jun 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Jun 17, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$4.41Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$3.03Jun 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.41Jun 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.05Jun 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.29Jun 16, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.11Jun 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.62Jun 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.12Jun 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.18Jun 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.05Jun 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.44Jun 16, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.