Upbeat-Laughter
0x11085eb9f3cdc2db5c25ae03f38c5dbe81198bba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Frida Karlsson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
10570 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-66.43
- YES
Will Sweden win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
295 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Ebba Andersson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ye say something antisemitic before March?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
65 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.88Mar 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.63Mar 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$0.26Mar 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$2.90Mar 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.40Mar 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.09Mar 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$1.85Mar 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.80Mar 9, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$0.00Mar 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$27.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$27.00Mar 7, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$15.66Mar 2, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$11.40Mar 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?$9.50Mar 1, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$35.10Feb 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$21.85Feb 27, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$50.00Feb 24, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$4.55Feb 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.25Feb 19, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$22.50Feb 19, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.