Loose-Shop
0x110fcf447171007b041dfe429b36771732dd23c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$128.13
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.13
$28.13
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
35714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
22886 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
17175 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 15?
16722 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
8333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
5591 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
5518 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
4167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
3835 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$0.00Jul 16, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$103.53Jul 16, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$128.21Jul 16, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$55.64Jul 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.66Jul 8, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$31.14Jul 8, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$103.92Jul 8, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$103.22Jul 6, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$100.00Jul 6, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$100.00Jul 6, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.0KJul 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$1000.00Feb 19, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1000.00Feb 19, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$100.00Jan 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$100.00Jan 17, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Jan 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$500.00Jan 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$100.00Jan 17, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $888.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.