Political-Caramel
0x111419742a87ab63e0aabff24d5791bd022cb1d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2721 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
69 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
63 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
25 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Apr 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$30.54Apr 21, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.44Apr 13, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9?$0.00Mar 12, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9?$1.00Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.60Mar 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.44Mar 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Mar 9, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.14Mar 9, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$7.30Mar 9, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$3.56Mar 9, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.82Mar 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.00Mar 9, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.02Mar 9, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".