Modern-Waitress
0x111b8af1c955dbf05e5a4f1c1e2520341aea4009
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-419.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?
283 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 15?
281 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 6?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 9?
276 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 7?
275 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 29-January 4?
275 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 4?
267 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9PM ET
264 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 11?
264 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 9?
261 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?$128.85Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?$127.17Jul 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 17?$2.40Jul 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?$3.24Jul 8, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$27.37Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$2.21May 31, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$96.81May 31, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$94.87May 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 24?$1.69May 23, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$94.75May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$0.17May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$92.31May 22, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$23.85May 10, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$73.83May 3, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?$0.00Apr 27, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$71.91Apr 19, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$81.20Apr 17, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?$0.00Apr 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 on March 31?$2.34Apr 1, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?$0.00Mar 31, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $45.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.