Taut-Leeway
0x111d5e9545e71adedcd7bc2ee653258a2bb1be89
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$10.23
Total PnL
$-67.30
Realised
$-10.65
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.23
$1.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 9?
685 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 11?
360 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 13?
340 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Mavericks
25 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- MOISE KOUAME
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouame
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- FEDERICO CINA
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cina
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.58
- PELICANS
Rockets vs. Pelicans
11 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
10 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$9.03Jul 3, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of June 22 2026?$123.12Jul 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of June 22 2026?$123.00Jun 26, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$11.91Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on May 31?$13.93Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$108.86Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$108.75May 31, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$108.76May 31, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$108.66May 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$107.88May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$108.00May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on May 31?$13.90May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$4.84May 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$126.86May 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$127.00May 30, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$11.57May 30, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$116.10May 30, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$115.77May 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$11.56May 28, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$127.33May 28, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $93.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.